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Answer: 7.38
## Explanation Effective duration measures the sensitivity of a bond's price to changes in interest rates. The formula for effective duration is: \[ \text{Effective Duration} = \frac{V_- - V_+}{2 \times V_0 \times \Delta y} \] Where: - \( V_- \) = portfolio value when rates decrease (USD 127.723 million) - \( V_+ \) = portfolio value when rates increase (USD 122.164 million) - \( V_0 \) = initial portfolio value - \( \Delta y \) = change in yield (30 basis points = 0.0030) First, we need to find the initial portfolio value \( V_0 \). Since the portfolio changes symmetrically with rate changes, we can estimate: \[ V_0 \approx \frac{V_- + V_+}{2} = \frac{127.723 + 122.164}{2} = \frac{249.887}{2} = 124.9435 \text{ million} \] Now calculate effective duration: \[ \text{Effective Duration} = \frac{127.723 - 122.164}{2 \times 124.9435 \times 0.0030} \] \[ = \frac{5.559}{2 \times 124.9435 \times 0.0030} \] \[ = \frac{5.559}{0.749661} \] \[ = 7.414 \] The effective duration is approximately 7.414, which is closest to **7.38** (Option A).
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The value of the portfolio would increase to USD 127.723 million if all interest rates fell by 30 basis points and would decrease to USD 122.164 million if all interest rates rose by 30 basis points. Using these estimates, the effective duration of the bond portfolio is closest to:
A
7.38
B
8.38
C
14.77
D
16.76
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