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Answer: For a futures contract, multiply the VaR of the S&P 500 Index by a sensitivity factor reflecting the percent change in the value of the futures contract for a 1% change in the index value.
## Explanation For linear derivatives such as futures contracts, the VaR calculation involves multiplying the VaR of the underlying asset (S&P 500 Index) by a sensitivity factor. This sensitivity factor typically represents the delta or the percentage change in the derivative's value for a 1% change in the underlying index value. **Key Points:** - **Linear derivatives** (like futures) have a linear relationship with the underlying asset - The VaR of a linear derivative = VaR of underlying × sensitivity factor - The sensitivity factor captures how much the derivative's value changes relative to changes in the underlying - For futures contracts specifically, this approach is appropriate because their price movements are directly proportional to the underlying index **Why other options are incorrect:** - **Option B**: Incorrect because options are non-linear derivatives and require different approaches (like delta-gamma approximation) - **Option C**: Incorrect because we multiply rather than divide, and the sensitivity factor should reflect percentage changes rather than absolute changes - **Option D**: Incorrect because options are non-linear and the division approach doesn't apply to linear derivatives This approach is fundamental in risk management for calculating VaR of linear derivatives using the delta-normal method.
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An analyst at Bergman International Bank has been asked to explain the calculation of VaR for linear derivatives to the newly hired junior analysts. Which of the following statements best describes the calculation of VaR for a linear derivative on the S&P 500 Index?
A
For a futures contract, multiply the VaR of the S&P 500 Index by a sensitivity factor reflecting the percent change in the value of the futures contract for a 1% change in the index value.
B
For an options contract, multiply the VaR of the S&P 500 Index by a sensitivity factor reflecting the percent change in the value of the futures contract for a 1% change in the index value.
C
For a futures contract, divide the VaR of the S&P 500 Index by a sensitivity factor reflecting the absolute change in the value of the futures contract per absolute change in the index value.
D
For an options contract, divide the VaR of the S&P 500 Index by a sensitivity factor reflecting the percent change in the value of the futures contract for a 1% change in the index value.