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Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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A risk analyst at a bank is estimating the distribution of credit losses for a portfolio of 30 identical loan exposures. The analyst assumes that the credit losses follow a binomial distribution. Each loan has the following characteristics:

  • Amount: SGD 500,000
  • Probability of default: 4%
  • Recovery rate: 30%
  • Average pairwise default correlation: 0.4

What is the standard deviation of losses on the loan portfolio expressed as a percentage of the size of the portfolio?

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