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Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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A risk analyst at a commodities trading firm is examining the supply and demand conditions for various commodities and is concerned about the volatility of the forward prices for silver in the medium term. Currently, silver is trading at a spot price of USD 20.35 per troy ounce and the six-month forward price is quoted at USD 20.50 per troy ounce. Assuming that after six months the lease rate rises above the continuously compounded interest rate, which of the following statements is correct about the shape of the silver forward curve after six months?

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