
Answer-first summary for fast verification
Answer: Sell 38 futures
## Explanation To determine the optimal hedge ratio and number of futures contracts, we use the minimum variance hedge ratio formula: \[ h^* = \rho \times \frac{\sigma_S}{\sigma_F} \] Where: - \( \rho \) = correlation coefficient = 0.77 - \( \sigma_S \) = standard deviation of spot price (bronze) = 2.6% - \( \sigma_F \) = standard deviation of futures price (copper) = 3.2% \[ h^* = 0.77 \times \frac{2.6\%}{3.2\%} = 0.77 \times 0.8125 = 0.625625 \] Now, calculate the number of futures contracts: \[ N = h^* \times \frac{Q_S}{Q_F} \] Where: - \( Q_S \) = quantity of spot position = 1,000 mt - \( Q_F \) = quantity per futures contract = 25 mt \[ N = 0.625625 \times \frac{1000}{25} = 0.625625 \times 40 = 25.025 \] Since the company is selling bronze in the future (short spot position), they need to take an opposite position in futures to hedge. Therefore, they should **sell** futures contracts. Rounded to the nearest whole number: **25 contracts** However, the provided option mentions "Sell 38 futures" which doesn't match our calculation. Let me verify if there's additional information: Looking at the calculation again, the hedge ratio is: \[ h^* = 0.77 \times \frac{2.6}{3.2} = 0.625625 \] Number of contracts: \[ N = 0.625625 \times \frac{1000}{25} = 25.025 \approx 25 \text{ contracts} \] Since the company is selling bronze (short spot), they should sell futures to hedge. Therefore, the correct answer should be **Sell 25 futures**, but the only option provided is "Sell 38 futures" which appears to be incorrect based on the calculation.
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A bronze producer will sell 1,000 mt (metric tons) of bronze in three months at the prevailing market price at that time. The standard deviation of the change in the price of bronze over a 3-month period is 2.6%. The company decided to use 3-month futures on copper to hedge the exposure. The copper futures contract is for 25mt of copper. The standard deviation of the futures price is 3.2%. The correlation between 3-month changes in the futures price and the price of bronze is 0.77. To hedge its price exposure, how many futures contracts should the company buy/sell?
A
Sell 38 futures
B
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