
Explanation:
Model risk refers to the risk of financial loss resulting from using models that are incorrectly specified, misapplied, or based on flawed assumptions. In the Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) case:
I. Poor management oversight - This is an operational risk issue, not model risk. It relates to governance and control failures rather than model deficiencies.
II. Financial reporting standards - This is a regulatory/accounting issue, not model risk. Financial reporting standards govern how financial information is presented, not the underlying models used for risk management.
III. Ignoring autocorrelation of economic shocks - This is a classic model risk. LTCM's models assumed that economic shocks were independent over time, but in reality, financial crises often exhibit persistence (autocorrelation) where negative events cluster together.
IV. Underestimating correlations among asset classes during economic crises - This is another key model risk. LTCM's models assumed stable correlations between different asset classes, but during the 1998 Russian debt crisis, correlations converged toward 1 as investors fled to quality assets, causing massive losses in supposedly diversified portfolios.
Therefore, only options III and IV represent actual model risk issues demonstrated in the LTCM case.
Ultimate access to all questions.
Which of the following are examples of model risk illustrated in the Long-Term Capital Management case?
I. Poor management oversight.
II. Financial reporting standards.
III. Ignoring autocorrelation of economic shocks.
IV. Underestimating correlations among asset classes during economic crises.
A
II, III, and IV only
B
III and IV only
C
I, II, III, and IV
D
I only
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