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Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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Suppose an analyst examines expected return for the Broad Band Company (BBC) based on a 2-factor model. Initially, the expected return for BBC equals 10%. The analyst identifies GDP and 10-year interest rates as the two factors for the factor model. Assume the following data is used:

  • GDP growth consensus forecast = 6%
  • Interest rate consensus forecast = 3%
  • GDP factor beta for BBC = 1.5
  • Interest rate factor beta for BBC = -1.00

Suppose GDP ends up growing 5% and the 10-year interest rate ends up equaling 4%. Also assume that during the period, the Broad Band Company unexpectedly experiences a shortage of key inputs, causing its revenues to be less than originally expected.

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