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A risk manager at a bank is speaking to a group of analysts about estimating credit losses in loan portfolios. The manager presents a scenario with a portfolio consisting of two loans and provides information about the loans as given below:
| Loan 1 | Loan 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Amount borrowed | CNY 15 million | CNY 20 million |
| Probability of default | 2% | 2% |
| Recovery rate | 40% | 25% |
| Default correlation between Loan 1 and Loan 2 | 0.6 |
Assuming portfolio losses are binomially distributed, what is the estimate of the standard deviation of losses on the portfolio?