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Financial Risk Manager Part 1

Financial Risk Manager Part 1

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A risk manager at a bank is speaking to a group of analysts about estimating credit losses in loan portfolios. The manager presents a scenario with a portfolio consisting of two loans and provides information about the loans as given below:

Loan 1Loan 2
Amount borrowedCNY 15 millionCNY 20 million
Probability of default2%2%
Recovery rate40%25%
Default correlation between Loan 1 and Loan 20.6

Assuming portfolio losses are binomially distributed, what is the estimate of the standard deviation of losses on the portfolio?

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