
Ultimate access to all questions.
A credit risk analyst at a wholesale bank is estimating annual default probabilities of a 5-year loan that has just been extended to a corporate borrower. The analyst determines from rating agency data that the 5-year cumulative default probability of bonds from this borrower with identical terms and seniority is 6.2%, and uses this information to calculate the 5-year survival rate for the borrower. If the borrower's average hazard rate for the first 4 years of the loan is 1.1%, what is the unconditional default probability of the borrower during year 5 of the loan?
A
1.71%
B
1.80%
C
1.90%
D
1.98%