
Explanation:
Correct Answer: A
The delta-normal model used by Bank A provides only a linear approximation of the option's price sensitivity, while the Monte Carlo simulation used by Bank B performs full revaluation that captures the non-linear characteristics of the option.
Convexity of Option Price Function: The price of a call option is convex with respect to the underlying stock price. This means that for large price movements, the actual option price change is greater than what the linear delta approximation would suggest.
Delta-Normal Model Limitations:
Monte Carlo Full Revaluation:
VaR Impact: For a long call option position, the convexity provides protection against large losses, which the delta-normal model fails to capture. Therefore, Bank A using delta-normal will estimate higher VaR than Bank B using full revaluation.
This demonstrates the importance of using appropriate risk measurement methodologies for non-linear financial instruments like options.
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Bank A and Bank B are two competing investment banks. The banks are calculating the 1-day 99% VaR for a long position in an at-the-money call option on a non-dividend-paying stock with the following information:
To compute VaR, Bank A uses the delta-normal model, while Bank B uses a Monte Carlo simulation method for full revaluation. Which bank will most likely estimate a higher value for the 1-day 99% VaR?
A
Bank A
B
Bank B
C
Both banks will have the same VaR estimate
D
Insufficient information to determine
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