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Answer: 11.0
## Explanation Effective duration measures the sensitivity of a bond's price to changes in interest rates. The formula for effective duration is: \[ D = -\frac{\Delta P}{P \Delta r} \] Where: - \(\Delta P\) = Price change for a given rate change - \(P\) = Original price - \(\Delta r\) = Change in interest rates Given: - Original price \(P = 125.00\) million - Price if rates fall by 20 bps: \(127.70\) million - Price if rates rise by 20 bps: \(122.20\) million - Rate change \(\Delta r = 0.002\) (20 bps = 0.20% = 0.002) Calculation: \[ D = \frac{P_{-} - P_{+}}{P \times (2 \times \Delta r)} = \frac{127.70 - 122.20}{125.00 \times (2 \times 0.002)} = \frac{5.5}{125.00 \times 0.004} = \frac{5.5}{0.5} = 11.0 \] **Key points:** - The denominator uses \(2 \times \Delta r\) because we're calculating the duration for a 20 bps change but reporting it for a 100 bps (1%) change - The numerator uses the difference between the price when rates fall and the price when rates rise - The result of 11.0 means the portfolio's value would change by approximately 11% for a 100 bps (1%) change in interest rates **Why other options are incorrect:** - **A (5.5)**: Results from incorrectly switching the prices in the formula - **C (22.0)**: Results from omitting the "2" multiplier in the denominator - **D (44.0)**: Results from incorrectly applying the "2" multiplier to the numerator instead of the denominator
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A portfolio manager uses a valuation model to estimate the value of a bond portfolio at USD 125.00 million. The term structure is flat. Using the same model, the portfolio manager estimates that the value of the portfolio would increase to USD 127.70 million if all interest rates fall by 20 bps and would decrease to USD 122.20 million if all interest rates rise by 20 bps. Using these estimates, which of the following is the effective duration of the bond portfolio closest to?
A
5.5
B
11.0
C
22.0
D
44.0
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