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Answer: 719.2
## Explanation Effective convexity measures the sensitivity of the duration measure to changes in interest rates. It is given by the formula: \[ C = \frac{1}{P} \left[ \frac{P^+ + P^- - 2P}{(\Delta r)^2} \right] \] Where: - \(P^+\) is the value of the bond when all rates increase by \(\Delta r\) - \(P^-\) is the value of the bond when all rates decrease by \(\Delta r\) - \(P\) is the current bond price - \(\Delta r\) is the change in interest rates From the table: - Current interest rate: 4.00% - Current bond price \(P = 97.8910\) - When rates decrease to 3.95% (\(\Delta r = -0.05\%\)): \(P^- = 97.9430\) - When rates increase to 4.05% (\(\Delta r = +0.05\%\)): \(P^+ = 97.8566\) - \(\Delta r = 0.0005\) (0.05% in decimal form) Calculating: \[ C = \frac{1}{97.8910} \cdot \left[ \frac{97.8566 + 97.9430 - 2 \cdot 97.8910}{(0.0005)^2} \right] \] \[ C = \frac{1}{97.8910} \cdot \left[ \frac{195.7996 - 195.7820}{0.00000025} \right] \] \[ C = \frac{1}{97.8910} \cdot \left[ \frac{0.0176}{0.00000025} \right] \] \[ C = \frac{1}{97.8910} \cdot 70,400 \] \[ C = 719.1672 \] Therefore, the estimated effective convexity is approximately 719.2, which corresponds to option D.
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A risk manager is evaluating the price sensitivity of an investment-grade callable bond. The manager gathers the following information on the bond as well as on the embedded option:
| Interest rate level | Callable bond | Call option |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95% | 97.9430 | 2.1972 |
| 4.00% | 97.8910 | 2.1090 |
| 4.05% | 97.8566 | 2.0035 |
Assuming the current interest rate curve is flat at 4%, what is the estimated effective convexity of the callable bond?
A
18.0
B
36.0
C
179.0
D
719.2
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