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Answer: Buy the futures contract and sell the underlying equities
## Explanation This is an example of index arbitrage where arbitrage exists if the parity condition between the equity index price and the futures contract price does not hold. ### Theoretical Futures Price Calculation: The parity relationship is: \[ F_{0,t} = S_0 \times e^{(r - q) \times t} \] Where: - \( S_0 = 3,625 \) (current spot index value) - \( r = 5\% \) (risk-free rate) - \( q = 2\% \) (dividend yield) - \( t = 15/12 = 1.25 \) years \[ F_{0,t} = 3,625 \times e^{(0.05 - 0.02) \times 1.25} \] \[ F_{0,t} = 3,625 \times e^{0.0375} \] \[ F_{0,t} = 3,625 \times 1.0382 \] \[ F_{0,t} = 3,763.52 \] ### Arbitrage Strategy: - **Theoretical futures price**: USD 3,763.52 - **Actual futures price**: USD 3,750 Since the actual futures price (3,750) is **lower** than the theoretical price (3,763.52), the futures contract is **undervalued**. **Strategy**: Buy the undervalued futures contract and sell the overvalued underlying equities (short the index). This creates a risk-free arbitrage profit because: 1. Buy futures at 3,750 (undervalued) 2. Short sell the index at 3,625 3. At expiration, the futures price converges to the spot price 4. The difference between theoretical and actual futures price represents the arbitrage profit **Options Analysis:** - **A**: Incorrect - Buying both would not create arbitrage - **B**: Correct - Buy futures (undervalued) and sell underlying (overvalued) - **C**: Incorrect - Opposite of the correct strategy - **D**: Incorrect - Selling both would not create arbitrage
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A trader on the equity desk of a large bank is examining a 15-month futures contract on an equity index that is trading at USD 3,750. The underlying equity index is currently valued at USD 3,625 and has a continuously compounded dividend yield of 2% per year. The continuously compounded risk-free interest rate is 5% per year. Assuming no transactions costs, which of the following is the most appropriate strategy for the trader to use to earn potential arbitrage profit?
A
Buy the futures contract and buy the underlying equities
B
Buy the futures contract and sell the underlying equities
C
Sell the futures contract and buy the underlying equities
D
Sell the futures contract and sell the underlying equities
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