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Answer: GBP 7,930
## Explanation Using Euler's theorem for credit risk, the contribution of each loan to the portfolio VaR can be calculated as: \[ Q_i = \frac{\Delta F_i}{\Delta x_i} \] Where: - \(Q_i\) is the contribution of loan i to portfolio VaR - \(\Delta F_i\) is the increase in portfolio VaR when loan i's VaR increases by 1% - \(\Delta x_i\) is the percentage increase in loan i's VaR (1% = 0.01) From the given data: **For Loan 1:** \[ Q_1 = \frac{58.1}{0.01} = 5,810 \] **For Loan 2:** \[ Q_2 = \frac{65.6}{0.01} = 6,560 \] **For Loan 3:** We know that the total portfolio VaR equals the sum of individual contributions: \[ F = Q_1 + Q_2 + Q_3 \] \[ 20,300 = 5,810 + 6,560 + Q_3 \] \[ Q_3 = 20,300 - 5,810 - 6,560 = 7,930 \] Therefore, the contribution of Loan 3 to the portfolio VaR is GBP 7,930, which corresponds to option D. This calculation demonstrates the application of Euler's theorem, which states that for homogeneous risk measures, the total portfolio risk equals the sum of the marginal contributions of each component when each component's risk is increased by a small amount.
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A risk manager at a small bank is using Euler's theorem to calculate the contributions of individual loans to the VaR of a loan portfolio. The portfolio VaR is GBP 20,300. Information on the 3 loans in the portfolio is shown below:
| Loan 1 | Loan 2 | Loan 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loan amount (GBP) | 180,000 | 200,000 | 160,000 |
| Loan VaR (GBP) | 10,000 | 8,000 | 9,500 |
| Increase in portfolio VaR if loan VaR is increased by 1% | 58.1 | 65.6 | ? |
| Loan pair | Correlation |
|---|---|
| Loan 1 and Loan 2 | 0.1 |
| Loan 1 and Loan 3 | 0.1 |
| Loan 2 and Loan 3 | 0.8 |
Which of the following is closest to the contribution of Loan 3 to the portfolio VaR?
A
GBP 6,015
B
GBP 6,320
C
GBP 7,013
D
GBP 7,930
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