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Explanation:
To calculate the expected principal prepayment this month, we need to convert the annual Conditional Prepayment Rate (CPR) to a Single Monthly Mortality (SMM) rate, then apply it to the current balance.
Step 1: Convert CPR to SMM The relationship between CPR and SMM is:
Rearranging to solve for SMM:
Given CPR = 0.6% = 0.006:
Step 2: Calculate expected principal prepayment
This rounds to USD 16,045, which matches option D.
Why other options are incorrect:
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A fixed-income portfolio manager purchases a seasoned 5% agency MBS with a weighted average loan age of 60 months. The current balance on the loans at the beginning of this month is USD 32 million, and the conditional prepayment rate is assumed to be constant at 0.6% per year. Which of the following is closest to the expected principal prepayment this month?
A
USD 3,210
B
USD 9,600
C
USD 16,000
D
USD 16,045