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A risk analyst at a high-yield bond fund is calculating the conditional probability of default (PD) for a CCC-rated bond. The analyst has the following cumulative PD data from a rating agency:
| Year | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|------|-------|-------|-------|
| Cumulative PD (%) | 24.78 | 34.51 | 39.86 |
What is the conditional probability that the bond defaults during year 3?
A
5.35%
B
8.17%
C
19.90%
D
26.10%