Explanation
Let's analyze each option:
Option A: "is skewed to the left."
- This is FALSE. A lognormal distribution is skewed to the RIGHT, not to the left. The lognormal distribution has positive skewness because the exponential function transforms the symmetric normal distribution into one with a long right tail.
Option B: "is often used to model stock prices."
- This is TRUE. The lognormal distribution is commonly used to model stock prices in finance because:
- Stock prices cannot be negative (lognormal distribution has positive values only)
- Returns are often assumed to be normally distributed, and if returns are normally distributed, then stock prices are lognormally distributed
- It captures the positive skewness often observed in financial asset prices
Option C: "has a mean equal to exp(μ), where μ is the mean of X."
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This is FALSE. The mean of a lognormal distribution Y = exp(X), where X ~ N(μ, σ²), is:
E[Y]=exp(μ+2σ2)
Not simply exp(μ). The correct formula includes the variance term σ²/2. The median of the lognormal distribution is exp(μ), but the mean is larger due to the positive skewness.
Correct Answer: B is correct, and C is incorrect.
Key Points:
- Lognormal distribution: Y = exp(X) where X ~ N(μ, σ²)
- Mean: E[Y] = exp(μ + σ²/2)
- Median: exp(μ)
- Variance: Var(Y) = [exp(σ²) - 1] × exp(2μ + σ²)
- Always positive values
- Right-skewed (positive skewness)
- Widely used in finance for modeling stock prices, option pricing (Black-Scholes model), and other financial variables that cannot be negative.