An analyst considers the following scenarios for the economy and the sales growth of a company:

Scenario	Probability of Scenario	Sales Growth	Probability of Sales Growth
Economic boom	0.65	15%	0.70
		-5%	0.30
Economic downturn	0.35	4%	0.30
		-10%	0.70

Based on this information, the probability of an economic downturn and negative sales growth is closest to: