
Explanation:
Forward points represent the difference between the forward exchange rate and the spot exchange rate, typically expressed in basis points. The formula for calculating forward points is:
Forward Points = Forward Rate - Spot Rate
To calculate the forward rate, we use the interest rate parity formula:
Forward Rate = Spot Rate × [(1 + r_quote × t) / (1 + r_base × t)]
Where:
Step 1: Calculate the forward rate
Forward Rate = 1.0072 × [(1 + 0.0063 × 0.75) / (1 + 0.0075 × 0.75)]
First, calculate the numerator: 1 + (0.0063 × 0.75) = 1 + 0.004725 = 1.004725
Second, calculate the denominator: 1 + (0.0075 × 0.75) = 1 + 0.005625 = 1.005625
Third, calculate the ratio: 1.004725 / 1.005625 = 0.999105
Finally, calculate the forward rate: Forward Rate = 1.0072 × 0.999105 = 1.006298
Step 2: Calculate forward points
Forward Points = Forward Rate - Spot Rate Forward Points = 1.006298 - 1.0072 = -0.000902
Step 3: Convert to basis points
Since forward points are typically quoted as the last 4 decimal places × 10,000: -0.000902 × 10,000 = -9.02 points
Step 4: Compare with options
-9.02 points is closest to option B: -9.0
Key Concept: When the quote currency (CHF) has a lower interest rate than the base currency (USD), the forward rate will trade at a premium (higher value) relative to the spot rate. However, in this case, the calculation shows a slight discount (negative forward points) because the interest rate differential is small and the spot rate adjustment results in a slightly lower forward rate.
Verification: The interest rate differential is 0.12% (0.75% - 0.63%) in favor of USD. According to interest rate parity, the currency with the higher interest rate (USD) should trade at a forward discount relative to the spot rate, which is consistent with our negative forward points result.
Ultimate access to all questions.
An analyst gathers the following information:
| CHF/USD spot exchange rate | 1.0072 |
|---|---|
| 270-day CHF risk-free interest rate (annualized) | 0.63% |
| 270-day USD risk-free interest rate (annualized) | 0.75% |
| CHF/USD is the amount of CHF per 1 USD. |
The number of forward points for the 270-day CHF/USD forward rate is closest to:
A
-12.0
B
-9.0
C
0.5
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