
Answer-first summary for fast verification
Answer: 1.45%
## Explanation The geometric mean return is calculated using the formula: $$\text{Geometric Mean} = \left[\prod_{i=1}^{n}(1 + R_i)\right]^{\frac{1}{n}} - 1$$ Where: - $R_i$ are the individual returns - $n$ is the number of periods **Step-by-step calculation:** 1. Convert percentages to decimal form: - Year 1: 12.2% = 0.122 - Year 2: -8.5% = -0.085 - Year 3: 6.7% = 0.067 - Year 4: -3.3% = -0.033 2. Calculate (1 + R) for each year: - Year 1: 1 + 0.122 = 1.122 - Year 2: 1 + (-0.085) = 0.915 - Year 3: 1 + 0.067 = 1.067 - Year 4: 1 + (-0.033) = 0.967 3. Multiply all (1 + R) values: $$1.122 \times 0.915 \times 1.067 \times 0.967 = 1.0589$$ 4. Take the 4th root (since n=4): $$(1.0589)^{\frac{1}{4}} = 1.0144$$ 5. Subtract 1 and convert to percentage: $$1.0144 - 1 = 0.0144 = 1.44\%$$ **Verification:** - Option A: 1.45% (closest to our calculated 1.44%) - Option B: 1.78% - Option C: 5.93% (this would be the arithmetic mean, not geometric mean) **Key Concept:** The geometric mean accounts for compounding effects and is always less than or equal to the arithmetic mean when returns vary. The arithmetic mean would be: $$\frac{12.2\% + (-8.5\%) + 6.7\% + (-3.3\%)}{4} = \frac{7.1\%}{4} = 1.775\%$$ which is close to Option B, but this is incorrect for geometric mean calculation.
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