Explanation
The geometric mean return is calculated using the formula:
Geometric Mean=[∏i=1n(1+Ri)]n1−1
Where:
- Ri are the individual returns
- n is the number of periods
Step-by-step calculation:
-
Convert percentages to decimal form:
- Year 1: 12.2% = 0.122
- Year 2: -8.5% = -0.085
- Year 3: 6.7% = 0.067
- Year 4: -3.3% = -0.033
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Calculate (1 + R) for each year:
- Year 1: 1 + 0.122 = 1.122
- Year 2: 1 + (-0.085) = 0.915
- Year 3: 1 + 0.067 = 1.067
- Year 4: 1 + (-0.033) = 0.967
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Multiply all (1 + R) values:
‘1.122 \times 0.915 \times 1.067 \times 0.967 = 1.0589$4`. Take the 4th root (since n=4):
$$(1.0589)^{\frac{1}{4}} = 1.0144$5. Subtract 1 and convert to percentage:
‘1.01`44 - 1 = 0.0144 = 1.44%$$
Verification:
- Option A: 1.45% (closest to our calculated 1.44%)
- Option B: 1.78%
- Option C: 5.93% (this would be the arithmetic mean, not geometric mean)
Key Concept: The geometric mean accounts for compounding effects and is always less than or equal to the arithmetic mean when returns vary. The arithmetic mean would be:
412.2%+(−8.5%)+6.7%+(−3.3%)=47.1%=1.775%
which is close to Option B, but this is incorrect for geometric mean calculation.