
Explanation:
Greenfield projects are considered high-risk infrastructure investments because:
Construction risk: These projects involve building new infrastructure from scratch, which carries risks of delays, cost overruns, and technical challenges.
Demand risk: The question specifically mentions "without guarantees of demand upon completion," meaning there's uncertainty about whether the completed project will generate sufficient revenue.
Regulatory and political risk: New projects often face regulatory hurdles and political uncertainties.
Financing risk: Greenfield projects typically require significant upfront capital investment with uncertain returns.
Comparison with other options:
Option A (An asset with a history of steady cash flows): This represents a low-risk investment as it has proven revenue generation.
Option B (A brownfield asset leased back to a government): Brownfield assets are existing infrastructure projects, and a leaseback arrangement with a government provides stable, predictable cash flows, making this a lower-risk investment.
Key takeaway: In infrastructure investing, greenfield projects are generally considered higher risk than brownfield projects due to the uncertainties involved in construction, demand, and initial operations.
Which of the following is most likely a high-risk infrastructure investment?
A
An asset with a history of steady cash flows
B
A brownfield asset leased back to a government
C
A greenfield project without guarantees of demand upon completion
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