Explanation
The correct answer is B. Fundamental weighting.
Let's analyze each of the fund manager's preferences against the three weighting methods:
1. Contrarian effect
- Fundamental weighting: Has a contrarian effect because it weights companies based on fundamental measures (like sales, cash flow, dividends, book value) rather than market price. When a stock becomes overvalued (high price), its market-cap weight increases but its fundamental weight may not change proportionally, creating a contrarian tilt.
- Equal weighting: Also has a contrarian effect because it rebalances regularly, selling winners and buying losers.
- Float-adjusted market cap: Does NOT have a contrarian effect - it's momentum-based (buys more of what's going up).
2. Shares held by controlling shareholders should be included
- Fundamental weighting: Typically includes all shares outstanding, not just the free float.
- Float-adjusted market cap: EXCLUDES shares held by controlling shareholders (uses only free float).
- Equal weighting: Usually uses all shares outstanding.
3. Dividends should be included in the weighting
- Fundamental weighting: Often includes dividends as one of the fundamental factors in weighting.
- Equal weighting: Ignores dividends in weighting.
- Float-adjusted market cap: Ignores dividends in weighting.
4. Weights should not be arbitrarily determined by the index provider
- Fundamental weighting: Uses objective, rules-based fundamental measures.
- Equal weighting: Somewhat arbitrary (why equal weight rather than some other scheme?).
- Float-adjusted market cap: Objective but based on market prices.
Key Distinction:
-
Fundamental weighting meets ALL four criteria:
- Contrarian effect ✓
- Includes controlling shareholders' shares ✓
- Includes dividends in weighting ✓
- Not arbitrary (rules-based on fundamentals) ✓
-
Equal weighting fails on criterion 3 (doesn't include dividends in weighting).
-
Float-adjusted market cap fails on criteria 1 (no contrarian effect), 2 (excludes controlling shareholders), and 3 (doesn't include dividends).
Therefore, fundamental weighting is the only option that satisfies all of the fund manager's preferences.