Explanation
This question requires estimating the yield for a 6-year bond using linear interpolation between two known yields at different maturities.
Given data:
- Bond 1: 4 years maturity, YTM = 3.3%
- Bond 2: 7 years maturity, YTM = 5.1%
- Need to estimate: 6-year bond yield
Linear interpolation formula:
Yield6=Yield4+(7−4)(6−4)×(Yield7−Yield4)
Calculation:
Yield6=3.3%+(7−4)(6−4)×(5.1%−3.3%)
Yield6=3.3%+32×1.8%
Yield6=3.3%+1.2%
Yield6=4.5%
Why this is correct:
- Linear interpolation is the simplest and most common method for estimating yields between known points on the yield curve.
- The 6-year maturity is 2/3 of the way between 4 years and 7 years.
- The yield difference between 4-year and 7-year bonds is 1.8% (5.1% - 3.3%).
- Adding 2/3 of this difference (1.2%) to the 4-year yield gives 4.5%.
Why other options are incorrect:
- Option A (3.9%): This would be too low and doesn't follow the proper interpolation calculation.
- Option B (4.2%): This might result from incorrect weighting or calculation errors.
Key concept: This question tests understanding of yield curve interpolation, which is fundamental in fixed income analysis for estimating yields at maturities where no bonds are directly quoted.