Explanation
In a semi-strong-form efficient market, all publicly available information is already reflected in security prices. This means:
- Technical analysis (looking at patterns of prices and trading volumes) would not be useful for generating abnormal returns.
- Fundamental analysis would not enable investors to generate consistent abnormal returns because all publicly available information is already incorporated into prices.
However, fundamental analysis still has value in a semi-strong-form efficient market because it:
- Helps participants understand the value implications of information - Even though prices reflect all public information, fundamental analysis helps investors understand what that information means for a company's intrinsic value.
- Provides insights into company operations and industry dynamics
- Helps with portfolio construction and risk management
Why the other options are incorrect:
- Option A: In a semi-strong-form efficient market, fundamental analysis cannot generate consistent abnormal returns because all public information is already reflected in prices.
- Option C: This describes technical analysis, not fundamental analysis. Technical analysis looks at price patterns and trading volumes, while fundamental analysis examines financial statements, economic factors, and company fundamentals.
Key takeaway: In semi-strong-form market efficiency, fundamental analysis is useful for understanding information but not for generating abnormal returns.