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Answer: 13.46%
## Explanation To estimate the percentage price change of a bond given a change in yield, we use the duration-convexity approximation formula: **Percentage Price Change ≈ -Modified Duration × Δy + (1/2) × Convexity × (Δy)²** Where: - Modified Duration = 15.213 - Convexity = 350.32 - Δy = 100 bps = 0.01 (as a decimal) **Step 1: Calculate the duration effect** - Duration effect = -Modified Duration × Δy = -15.213 × 0.01 = -0.15213 or -15.213% **Step 2: Calculate the convexity effect** - Convexity effect = (1/2) × Convexity × (Δy)² = 0.5 × 350.32 × (0.01)² - = 0.5 × 350.32 × 0.0001 = 0.5 × 0.035032 = 0.017516 or 1.7516% **Step 3: Combine the effects** - Total percentage price change = -15.213% + 1.7516% = -13.4614% **Step 4: Interpret the result** Since the yield increases by 100 bps, the bond price declines by approximately 13.46%. **Why other options are incorrect:** - **A. 0.15%**: This is far too small and represents only the convexity effect without considering duration. - **B. 8.21%**: This might be the result if only duration was considered without convexity adjustment, or if the convexity effect was subtracted instead of added. **Key Concept**: When yields increase, bond prices decrease. The duration effect is negative (price decline), while the convexity effect is always positive (mitigating the price decline). The combined effect gives a more accurate estimate than using duration alone.
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For a non-callable bond with an approximate annual modified duration of 15.213 and an approximate annual convexity of 350.32, if the bond's yield increases by 100 bps, the estimated percentage decline in the price of the bond is closest to:
A
0.15%
B
8.21%
C
13.46%
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