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Answer: 0.1
## Explanation The joint probability matrix must sum to 1 (or 100%) since it represents all possible outcomes. The given probabilities are: - Good economy with interest rate increase: 20% - Good economy with no interest rate increase: 10% - Normal economy with interest rate increase: 30% - Normal economy with no interest rate increase: 20% - Poor economy with no interest rate increase: 10% - Poor economy with interest rate increase: X (unknown) Sum of all known probabilities = 20% + 10% + 30% + 20% + 10% = 90% Therefore, X = 100% - 90% = 10% So the joint probability of a poor economy and an increase in interest rate is 10% or 0.1. This is a basic probability concept where the sum of all joint probabilities in a complete probability space must equal 1.
Author: Nikitesh Somanthe
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Use the following incomplete probability matrix to compute the joint probability of a poor economy and an increase in interest rate:
Interest rates
| Economy | Increase | No increase |
|---|---|---|
| Good | 20% | 10% |
| Normal | 30% | 20% |
| Poor | X | 10% |
A
0.2
B
0.3
C
0.1
D
0.05