
Explanation:
The correct answer is A (0.58).
Explanation:
This is a probability question involving the union of two events. The formula for the probability of either event A or event B occurring is:
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B)
Where:
Assuming the events are independent (which is reasonable for two different companies), we can calculate: P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B) = 0.4 × 0.3 = 0.12
Therefore: P(A ∪ B) = 0.4 + 0.3 - 0.12 = 0.58
Why other options are incorrect:
Key Concept: When calculating the probability of either of two events occurring, you must subtract the probability that both occur to avoid double-counting that scenario.
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An investor owns shares of both Apple and Microsoft. He assumes that the probability of Apple's share price declining by more than 5% this year is 0.4 while the probability of Microsoft's share price declining by more than 5% is 0.3. What is the probability that either Apple or Microsoft share prices will decline in price by more than 5% this year?
A
0.58
B
0.12
C
0.7
D
0.67