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Answer: Its statistical properties including the mean and variance do not change over time
**Explanation:** A time series is said to be stationary (specifically, covariance stationary or weakly stationary) if it satisfies three conditions: 1. **Constant Mean**: The expected value (mean) of the series is constant over time 2. **Constant Variance**: The variance of the series is finite and constant over time 3. **Constant Covariance**: The covariance between values at different time lags depends only on the lag length, not on the actual time period Option A correctly captures this definition by stating that "statistical properties including the mean and variance do not change over time." **Why other options are incorrect:** - **Option B**: Incorrect because stationary time series require constant mean, variance, and covariances - **Option C**: Incorrect because both mean AND variance must be constant for stationarity - **Option D**: Incorrect because both mean AND variance must be constant, not variable **Importance in Financial Risk Management:** Stationarity is crucial in time series analysis because: 1. Many statistical models (like ARIMA) assume stationarity 2. Non-stationary series can lead to spurious regression results 3. Stationarity allows for meaningful forecasting and inference 4. In risk management, understanding whether financial time series (like returns) are stationary helps in modeling volatility and correlations accurately
Author: Nikitesh Somanthe
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A time series is said to be stationary if:
A
Its statistical properties including the mean and variance do not change over time
B
Its mean, variance, and covariances with lagged and leading values change over time
C
Its mean remains constant but variance and covariances with lagged and leading values change over time
D
Its mean and variance are variables but covariances with lagged and leading values do not change over time