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Which of the following statements is most likely correct regarding lag operators?
A
They only use lagged future values
B
They are of limited use in modeling a time series
C
They consider only infinite-order polynomials
D
They quantify how a time series evolves by lagging a data series
Explanation:
Explanation:
Lag operators (also known as backshift operators) are mathematical operators used in time series analysis to represent the relationship between current and past values of a time series. The key characteristics of lag operators are:
They quantify how a time series evolves by lagging a data series - This is the correct statement. Lag operators shift a time series backward in time, allowing us to express current values as functions of past values.
They use lagged past values - Option A is incorrect because lag operators use lagged past values, not future values. The notation L (or B) applied to a time series y_t gives y_{t-1}.
They are widely useful in time series modeling - Option B is incorrect because lag operators are fundamental tools in ARIMA, ARMA, and other time series models, not of limited use.
They can use both finite and infinite-order polynomials - Option C is incorrect because lag operators can be used with both finite-order polynomials (as in AR models) and infinite-order polynomials (as in MA models or when expressing AR processes as infinite MA processes).
Mathematical Representation:
Lag operators are essential for expressing autoregressive (AR) and moving average (MA) models compactly, and they help in analyzing stationarity, invertibility, and other properties of time series models.