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Answer: All three are true
All three statements are true. - **I**: Because electricity is non-storable, the forward curve can contain information not fully reflected in the spot price. - **II**: Electricity forward curves often show pronounced **swings** due to seasonality, demand shocks, and supply constraints. - **III**: Since electricity cannot be stored economically, the standard storage/arbitrage relationship used for storable financial commodities does not apply in the same way.
Author: Manit Arora
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Question 187.2: Financial assets are stored (please note this is different than having a storage cost) but electricity is effectively non-storable. Consider three possible implications of electricity’s non-storability:
I. The electricity forward curve performs a price discovery function (it contains unique information not already contained in the spot price of electricity)
II. Unlike the forward curve of a financial asset, we expect the electricity forward curve to contain swings
III. Unlike a financial commodity where the forward price can be expressed as a function of the expected future spot price, where is the risk-free rate and is the discount rate, the electricity forward price cannot be similarly expressed
According to McDonald, which of the statements is TRUE about the electricity forward curve?
A
I. Only
B
I. and II. Only
C
I. and III. Only
D
All three are true
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