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Answer: Both are correct
Both statements are correct. - **I is correct** because in a dollar roll the investor is not guaranteed to receive back the exact same mortgage pool in the later settlement month; the buyer accepts any eligible TBA-deliverable pool. - **II is correct** because the party delivering the pool in the earlier month does **not** receive the cash flows from that pool during the roll period. Even though TBA pricing incorporates expected timing of cash flows, the **risk exposure** is different from a repo transaction. So the correct choice is **D) Both are correct**.
Author: Manit Arora
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For example, the investor who just purchased a 30-year 4% FNMA pool might sell the FNMA 30-year 4% January TBA and buy the FNMA 30-year 4% February TBA. Delivering the pool just purchased through the sale of the January TBA, which raises cash, and purchasing a pool through the February TBA, which returns cash, is very close to the economics of a secured loan.
But there are two important differences between dollar roll and repo financing:
I. The buyer of the roll may not get back in the later month the same pool delivered in the earlier month. The buyer of the roll delivers a particular pool, for example, in January but will have to accept whatever eligible pool is delivered in the next February. By contrast, an MBS repo seller is always returned the same pool that was originally posted as collateral.
II. The buyer of the roll does not receive any interest or principal payments from the pool over the roll. For example, the buyer of the Jan/Feb roll, who delivers the pool in January, does not receive the January payments of interest and principal. By contrast, a repo seller receives any payments of interest and principal over the life of the repo. While the prices of TBA contracts reflect the timing of payments, so that the buyer of a roll does not, in any sense, lose a month of payments relative to a repo seller, the risks of the two transactions are different. The buyer of a roll does not have any exposure to prepayments over the month being higher or lower than what had been implied by TBA prices while the repo seller does.
Which of these two differences is (are) CORRECT?
A
Neither are correct
B
I. is true but II. is incorrect
C
I. is incorrect but II. is true
D
Both are correct
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