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Answer: Ruble should depreciate, translating into a loss for the bank
Under purchasing power parity, higher inflation in Russia should lead to a depreciation of the ruble. Because the bank is **unhedged**, the value of the ruble-denominated asset falls when translated back into USD, creating a **loss** for the bank. Therefore, the correct choice is **D**.
Author: Manit Arora
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Question 1.1. A US bank raises USD $10 million (liabilities) and invests this amount into a Russian project denominated in Russian rubles (asset) with an expected foreign rate of return of 12%. The bank remains unhedged with respect to this currency risk. If there is a sudden increase in the Russian inflation rate, without any corresponding impact on the project’s nominal, foreign 12% return on the project, according to purchasing power parity (PPP), what is the impact on the bank?
A
No impact
B
Ruble should appreciate, translating into a gain for the bank
C
Ruble should depreciate, translating into a gain for the bank
D
Ruble should depreciate, translating into a loss for the bank
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