
Explanation:
Using a 1-step binomial model for a 1-year European put option:
Case 1: Volatility = 30% Risk-neutral probability of an up move Put payoff at up node: Put payoff at down node: Put price =
Case 2: Volatility = 50% Risk-neutral probability of an up move Put payoff at up node: Put payoff at down node: Put price =
Change in put option price = $16.89 - 8.10 = +8.79 \approx \text{+USD 8.80}$
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Q.65 An analyst just finalized his presentation to the investment committee of an investment bank where he showed his calculation of the price of a 1-year European put option on stocks of one of the local companies using a binomial tree model. He used the following inputs:
| Stock price | USD 100 |
|---|---|
| Stock price annual volatility | 30% |
| Option’s strike price | USD 90 |
| Risk-free rate | 3% |
A few hours later, he decided to revise the calculations and found a mistake in the calculation of the stock price annual volatility. How will the price of the European put option change if the correct annual price volatility is 50% instead of 30%?
A
+USD 8.80
B
-USD 8.80
C
+USD 5.25
D
-USD 5.25