
Explanation:
The correct answer is D.
Metallgesellschaft's US subsidiary, MGRM, employed a stack-and-roll hedging strategy. It sold long-term forward contracts for petroleum products to customers and hedged this exposure by buying short-term futures contracts.
When oil prices dropped significantly, MGRM faced massive margin calls on its futures positions, resulting in immediate and severe cash outflows. However, the offsetting gains on its forward contracts would not be realized until much later. This drastic timing mismatch between immediate cash outflows and delayed cash inflows caused a severe funding liquidity crisis, ultimately forcing the parent company to step in and liquidate the positions at a massive loss.
While Choice A (German accounting rules) did contribute to the crisis by requiring the immediate reporting of futures losses without allowing for the offset of unrealized gains on the forward contracts, the fundamental and most significant driver of the disaster was the funding liquidity risk created by the timing differences in cash flows (Choice D).
Choice B is incorrect as the events were due to a flawed hedging strategy and liquidity mismanagement, not outright fraud.
Choice C is incorrect because the issue was rooted in financial and liquidity engineering, rather than computer-based software failure.
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Q.124 In the Metallgesellschaft case study, which factor played the most significant role in the events that unfolded?
A
German accounting rules of the time.
B
Outright fraud.
C
Flawed computer-based software.
D
Timing differences in the cash flows of its long and short positions.
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