Q.35 On day n -1, two assets, X and Y, post returns of 3% and 4%, respectively, and the estimated correlation between them is 0.4. Asset X has a volatility of 2%, and asset Y has a volatility of 3%. Using the EWMA model with λ = 0.94, determine the updated coefficient of correlation between the returns of X and Y. | Financial Risk Manager Part 1 Quiz - LeetQuiz
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Explanation:
The EWMA model for updating the covariance between return X and return Y is
Covn=λCovn−1+(1−λ)Xn−1Yn−1
Where λ is the weight of the most recent covariance on day n - 1, Covₙ is the updated covariance.
First, let's find the initial covariance Covn−1:
Covn−1=Correlation×VolatilityX×VolatilityY=0.4×0.02×0.03=0.00024
Next, we calculate the updated covariance Covn:
Covn=(0.94×0.00024)+(0.06×0.03×0.04)=0.0002256+0.000072=0.0002976
Then, we must calculate the updated variance for both assets using EWMA:
Var(X)n=λVar(X)n−1+(1−λ)Xn−12=0.94×(0.02)2+0.06×(0.03)2=0.000376+0.000054=0.00043Var(Y)n=λVar(Y)n−1+(1−λ)Yn−12=0.94×(0.03)2+0.06×(0.04)2=0.000846+0.000096=0.000942
Finally, the updated correlation coefficient is:
Corrn=Var(X)n×Var(Y)nCovn=0.00043×0.0009420.0002976=0.000636440.0002976≈0.4676
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Q.35 On day n -1, two assets, X and Y, post returns of 3% and 4%, respectively, and the estimated correlation between them is 0.4. Asset X has a volatility of 2%, and asset Y has a volatility of 3%. Using the EWMA model with λ = 0.94, determine the updated coefficient of correlation between the returns of X and Y.