
Explanation:
The two-year cumulative probability of default (PD) = PD Year 1 + PD Year 2
Two-period cumulative PD = 0.05 + 0.0554 = 0.1054
(Book 4, Module 50.2, LO 50.h)
Question 11
Given the following transition matrix, what is the two-period cumulative probability of default for a B credit?
| Starting Rating | Ending Rating |
|---|---|
| A | |
| A | 0.92 |
| B | 0.05 |
| C | 0.02 |
| D | 0.00 |
A
3.42%.
B
4.45%.
C
5.54%.
D
10.54%.
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