
Explanation:
Correct Answer: D
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707.3. To adjust the infrequent trading bias introduced that is introduced into reported returns, we can "unsmooth" or "de-smooth" the reported returns. Ang suggests this is a filtering problem: "Filtering algorithms are normally used to separate signals from noise … standard filtering problems are designed to remove noise. The key difference is that unsmoothing adds noise back to the reported returns to uncover the true returns."²
The essence of unsmoothing of returns is illustrated by Ang's formulas 13.1, 13.2 and 13.4 below:
In these formulas is the reported (aka, observed) return and is the true but unobserved return. Importantly, as is almost always the case in finance, the model used in this particular unsmoothing process makes key assumptions. However, if the assumptions are correct, then each of the following statements about the unsmoothing process is true EXCEPT which is false?
A
Unsmoothing affects only risk estimates and not expected returns
B
Unsmoothing has no effect if the observed returns are uncorrelated.
C
The true returns implied by the "transfer function" and equation 13.2, , should have zero autocorrelation and generally should not be themselves forecastable
D
Due to the autocorrelation assumption, , the variance of the true returns will be less than the variance of the observed returns; i.e., variance i.e., variance