
Explanation:
Correct Answer: C
Explanation: To calculate the 95.0% confident 1-year lognormal Liquidity-adjusted Value at Risk (LVaR), we must evaluate the lognormal VaR and the Cost of Liquidation.
Calculate the Cost of Liquidation (COL):
$19.00 + $21.00) / 2 = $20.00$21.00 - $19.00) / $20.00 = 10.0%,000,000 \times 10.0\% = \2`. Calculate Lognormal Value at Risk (VaR):$1.6514.0`% - 1.645 \times 26.0% = 14.0% - 42.77% = -28.77%$,000,000 \times \exp(-0.2877) = \,000,000 - \749`,986 = \`250`,014$Calculate LVaR:
,000 + \50`,000 = \`300`,000$Therefore, the nearest value is $300,000.
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A position with a value of $1.0 million consists of 50,000 shares of an asset. The asset is quoted bid $19.00, offer $21.00. The asset has an expected return of 14.0% per annual and an annual volatility of 26.0%. We are interested in the lognormal value at risk (aka, lognormal VaR) over a one-year horizon; that is, we assume geometric returns are normally distributed. If our confidence level is 95.0%, which is NEAREST to the one-year liquidity-adjusted lognormal VaR (LVaR)?
A
$100,000
B
$200,000
C
$300,000
D
$400,000