
Explanation:
Given the default correlation formula:
We can solve for the Joint Default Probability (Joint PD):
0.0490 = \frac{\text{Joint PD} - (0.02)^2}{0.02 \times (1 - 0.02)} $$ $0.04`90 = \frac{\text{Joint PD} - 0.0004}{0.02 \times 0.98} $$
$0.0490 = \frac{\text{Joint PD} - 0.0004}{0.0196} \text{Joint PD} - 0.0004 = 0.0490 \times 0.0196 = 0.0009604 \text{Joint PD} = 0.0004 + 0.0009604 = 0.0013604 \text{Joint PD} \approx 0.136% $$
Looking at the provided table, a Joint Default Probability of 0.136% corresponds to an Asset Correlation of 0.25. Therefore, the implied asset correlation is 0.25.
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310.3. The upper panel below shows the default correlation, rho, under a single-factor credit model is 4.90% as a function of the individual default probabilities, denoted by pi. Under the simple credit model, all (both) credits have the same individual default probabilities; in this case, pi = 2.0%. The joint default probability is characterized by a bivariate standard normal distribution (joint CDF):
Bivariate Standard Normal
and
| Asset Correlation | Joint Default Probability |
|---|---|
| - | 0.040% |
| 0.05 | 0.053% |
| 0.10 | 0.069% |
| 0.15 | 0.040% |
| 0.20 | 0.110% |
| 0.25 | 0.136% |
In the lower panel, because they require a numerical solution, are listed the asset correlations implied by various joint default probabilities. For example, if two credits are uncorrelated, their joint PD = 2.0% * 2.0% = 0.040%; if their asset correlation is 0.05, the joint PD increases to 0.053%. Given a default correlation, rho, of 4.90%, what is the implied asset correlation?
A
0.10
B
0.15
C
0.20
D
0.25
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