Q.16 Given the information below, use the Cox Ingersoll Ross model to find the short-term rate after one month.
| Current short term rate | 5% |
|-------------------------|----|
| Long run value of the short term rate | 7.5% |
| Speed of mean revision adjustment | 0.05 |
| Volatility of rate change (σ) | 0.8% |
| Random variable dw | 0.3 | | Financial Risk Manager Part 2 Quiz - LeetQuiz
Financial Risk Manager Part 2
Explanation:
The Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model specifies that the change in the short-term rate dr is given by:
dr=k(θ−r)dt+σrdw
Where:
Current short term rate, r=5%=0.05
Long run value, θ=7.5%=0.075
Speed of mean reversion, k=0.05
Volatility, σ=0.8%=0.008
Random variable, dw=0.3
Time step, dt=1 month=1/12 year
First, we calculate the drift component:
Drift=0.05×(0.075−0.05)×(1/12)=0.05×0.025×0.08333=0.000104
Next, we calculate the random shock component:
Shock=0.008×0.05×0.3=0.008×0.2236×0.3=0.000537
Adding both components gives the change in the rate:
dr=0.000104+0.000537=0.000641=0.0641%
The new short-term rate is:
rnew=5%+0.0641%=5.0641%≈5.06%
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Q.16 Given the information below, use the Cox Ingersoll Ross model to find the short-term rate after one month.