
Explanation:
Both scenarios described in the question would lead to an increase in wrong-way risk. Wrong-way risk arises when the exposure to counterparty credit risk increases as the credit quality of the counterparty deteriorates. This risk is particularly relevant in derivative transactions where the exposure to the counterparty is not constant but varies with certain market variables.
In the first scenario, multiple entities within a specific industry are insured by a single monoline insurer. If the risk exposure of this industry increases, the insurer could be hit by a flood of claims due to its concentrated position in this industry. This could lead to a deterioration of the insurer's credit quality, thereby increasing the wrong-way risk for the insured entities.
In the second scenario, a borrower secures a loan by enlisting a guarantor who is also their business partner. If the borrower experiences financial difficulties, these could also affect the guarantor due to their business relationship. This could lead to a deterioration of the guarantor's credit quality, thereby increasing the wrong-way risk for the lender.
Choice A is incorrect. While scenario II does indeed increase wrong-way risk, as the credit quality of the guarantor (who is also a business partner) could deteriorate alongside that of the borrower, thereby increasing exposure to counterparty credit risk, this choice ignores scenario I. In scenario I, multiple entities within a specific industry being insured by a single monoline insurer also increases wrong-way risk. If the industry experiences adverse conditions, it could lead to increased exposure and defaults.
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Q.1987 Which of the following situations would lead to an increase in wrong-way risk?
i. Players in a given industry getting cover from a particular monoline insurer
ii. A borrower enlisting a guarantor who doubles up as their business partner
A
II only
B
I only
C
Both I and II
D
Neither I nor II
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