If two default events are independent, their default correlation (ρ12) is zero. Furthermore, the joint probability of default (π12) equals the product of their individual probabilities of default (π12=π1×π2).
Analyzing the options:
- Option A: Contains ρ12 as a multiplier, meaning the expression evaluates to zero.
- Option B: Contains ρ12 as a multiplier in the numerator, evaluating to zero.
- Option C: Evaluates to π1π12=π1π1π2=π2. Since the probability of default for firm 2 (π2) is typically a non-zero value, this expression will be non-zero.
- Option D: Contains ρ12 as a multiplier, so the expression evaluates to zero.
Therefore, Option C is the correct answer.