
Explanation:
The Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model is defined by the following stochastic differential equation:
Given the variables:
$1/12$$2.11% = 0.0211$$3.17% = 0.0317$$7.64% = 0.0764$$0.57$$0.160$First, calculate the drift component (mean-reversion):
Next, calculate the stochastic component (volatility):
The change in the short rate for the first month () is:
Finally, the short-rate in the first month is:
or $2.446%$
Therefore, choice C is the correct answer.
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Q.2858 James Greenberg, an analyst at HSBC, is employing the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model for the short-term rate process. His assumptions include:
The time-step is monthly, , today’s initial rate, , the annual basis point volatility, , the long-run rate, , the strength of reversion, .
For the first month, . What is the short-rate in the first month under this CIR process, ?
A
-3.006%
B
-1.336%
C
2.446%
D
3.006%