
Explanation:
Under Model 2,
where:
change in interest rates over small time interval,
drift
small time interval (measured in years) (e.g., one month = $1/122`/12$, and so forth)
annual basis-point volatility of rate changes
normally distributed random variable with mean 0 and standard deviation
Thus, the change in the short-term rate is given by:
Since the short-term rate started at 5.26%, the short-term rate after a month is 5.5683%:
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Q.4014 Under Model 2 of short-term interest rates, the current value of the short-term rate is 5.26%, that volatility equals 115 basis points per year, drift is 0.25%, and that the time interval under consideration is one month or years. Mathematically, ; ; ; and . A month passes and the random variable , with its zero mean and its standard deviation of or 0.2887, happens to take on a value of 0.25. Determine the short-term rate after one month.
A
5.5%
B
5.5683%
C
4.5212%
D
0.3083%