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Explanation:
The Vasicek model is a one-factor short rate model that describes the evolution of interest rates. It is driven by only one source of market risk. In this model, the risk-neutral dynamics can be expressed as:
where is the long-term value or the central propensity of the short-term rate in the risk-neutral process, and ‘k’ is the speed of mean reversion. The term represents the expected change in the short-term rate. If the difference between and increases, the value of this term also increases, implying a greater expected change in the short-term rate towards . This is because the model assumes that the short-term rate tends to revert to its long-term value over time, and the speed of this reversion is determined by ‘k’. Therefore, the greater the difference between and , the greater the expected change in the short-term rate towards .
Choice A is incorrect. The difference between and does not directly influence the value of the short-term rate. Instead, it influences the expected change in the short-term rate towards , as per Vasicek model.
Choice B is incorrect. The speed of mean reversion, denoted by , is a parameter of the model and not influenced by the difference between and . It determines how quickly or slowly rates revert to their long-term mean ().
Choice D is incorrect. According to Vasicek model, an increase in the difference between and would result in a greater expected change in short-term rate towards , not towards .
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Q.1661 The risk-neutral dynamics of the Vasicek model can be written as:
Here, the constant represents the long term value or the central propensity of the short-term rate in the risk-neutral process, while “k” represents the quickness of mean reversion. What will happen if the difference between and increases?
A
The greater the difference between and , the greater the value of the short-term rate.
B
The greater the difference between and , the greater the value of .
C
The greater the difference between and , the greater the expected change in the short-term rate towards .
D
The greater the difference between and , the greater the expected change in the short-term rate towards .