
Explanation:
The "filtered" aspect in filtered historical simulation refers to the fact that the historical returns are adjusted, or "filtered," by the conditional volatility (B) from the GARCH model.
Here's why:
A is incorrect. Zero-sum weighting is not related to the filtering process in this context.
C is incorrect. Filtering does not involve discarding any returns, positive or negative.
D is incorrect. While some risk management techniques use age-based weighting or discarding of old data, this is not the defining characteristic of "filtered" historical simulation.
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Q.6435 An analyst implements filtered historical simulation on commodity returns. She first fits a GARCH model, generates volatility forecasts, and standardizes each day’s return. Then she resamples these standardized returns to estimate future risk. Which aspect best defines “filtered” in this context?
A
Zero-sum weighting
B
Conditional volatility adjustment
C
Ignoring non-positive returns
D
Age-based discard of old data
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