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Explanation:
The formula for lognormal Value at Risk (VaR) is:
Given the data:
$85 millionFirst, calculate the exponent: 0.12` - 0.5264 = -0.4064 $$
Next, calculate the exponential term:
Finally, calculate the VaR: \text{Lognormal VaR} = 85 \times (1 - 0.666044) = 85 \times 0.333956 \approx \`$28.38`6 \text{ million}
Therefore, the closest answer is `$28.39` million.
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Q.2 An analyst has gathered the following information about a portfolio which has normally distributed geometric returns:
| Mean | 12% |
| Standard deviation | 32% |
| Portfolio value | 85 million |
What is the 95% lognormal VaR for this portfolio?
A
$33.40 million
B
$27.20 million
C
$56.61 million
D
$28.39 million