
Explanation:
WCDR (T,X) Or WC DR(X, T) indicates the Xth percentile of the default rate distribution during a period of length T. Its components are as follows:
Given:
Using a standard normal distribution table or a calculator, we find:
Plugging these values into the formula, we get:
Using the standard normal cumulative distribution function, we find:
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Q.3238 Paul Hales is a risk consultant at Kimpala Leasing Bank. The assets of the bank consist of $690 million retail loans (not mortgages), mostly fleets of multinational companies financed by Kimpala. The bank’s actuary has projected that the probability of default (PD) is 1% and the loss given default (LGD) is 40%.
Based on this information, what is the worst-case default rate at 99.9% certainty and the expected loss under the Basel II IRB approach? (Note: In this case, correlation .)
A
0.0907 and $2.76 million
B
0.1216 and $44.15 million
C
0.8784 and $4.83 million
D
0.0907 and $25.03 million
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