
Explanation:
First, we calculate normal expected loss,
The Expected Loss is given by:
= \`$129`,000Where:
= Probability of default
= Exposure at default
= Loss given default
We can then calculate the stressed expected loss:
= \`$330`,000Where:
= Stressed probability of default
The stress loss for the loan portfolio is thus given by:
\text{EL}_s - \text{EL} = \`$330`,000 - \`$129`,000 = \`$201`,000Ultimate access to all questions.
Q.3088 A risk analyst is concerned about the losses to his portfolio consisting of two bonds issued by Taylor Pharma and Simon Chemicals. The credit VaR for the portfolio is defined as the maximum loss due to defaults at a confidence level of 95% over a one-year horizon. Taylor Pharma’s bond has a value of $7 million, a default probability of 6%, and a recovery rate of 80%. Simon Chemical’s bond has a value of $9 million, a default probability of 5%, and a recovery rate of 90%. If the stress probability of default on Taylor and Simon are 12% and 18%, respectively, what is the stress loss on the loan portfolio?
A
$51,094.6
B
$330,000
C
$362,755.4
D
$201,000
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