
Explanation:
First, we calculate normal expected loss:
Next, we calculate the expected loss under stress conditions:
Finally, the stress loss is the difference between the stressed expected loss and the normal expected loss:
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Q.3088 A risk analyst is concerned about the losses to his portfolio consisting of two bonds issued by Taylor Pharma and Simon Chemicals. The credit VaR for the portfolio is defined as the maximum loss due to defaults at a confidence level of 95% over a one-year horizon. Taylor Pharma’s bond has a value of $7 million, a default probability of 6%, and a recovery rate of 80%. Simon Chemical’s bond has a value of $9 million, a default probability of 5%, and a recovery rate of 90%. If the stress probability of default on Taylor and Simon are 12% and 18%, respectively, what is the stress loss on the loan portfolio?
A
$51,094.6
B
$330,000
C
$362,755.4
D
$201,000
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